ABT
Abbott Laboratories
Health Care / Health Care Equipment & Supplies / Abbott Park, IL
AnalystScope signal
Hold
Scheduled quote
$102
Base fair value
$102
Bear / base / bull
$89 / $102 / $110
Upside / downside
+0.2 upside
Confidence
Low
Research updated Apr 10, 2026
Daily scheduled refresh as of Jul 21, 2026, 6:05 AM UTC. Fresh through Jul 22, 2026, 6:05 AM UTC.
Informational research only. Not personalized investment advice.
Investment summary
Current view and thesis
Abbott looks like a steadier diversified healthcare hold than a hard-rating opportunity, with the current valuation spread still moderate rather than wide.
Fair value $102 vs. current $102 (+0.2 upside). Current base fair value is $102 versus $102, implying +0.2 upside.
Key drivers
A diversified healthcare portfolio reduces dependence on any one procedure or product cycle.
Reasonable margin durability and cash conversion support downside protection.
The current valuation leaves some room for steady execution, but not enough to force a stronger rating.
Key risks
Procedure, diagnostics, or product-cycle softness could keep results below the current through-cycle base.
The setup is diversified, but that also limits the odds of a sharp near-term rerating.
If margin improvement stalls while the multiple holds, the upside case would stay constrained.
What would change the view
A wider discount to fair value would make the diversified-healthcare story more attractive.
Clearer evidence of durable device and diagnostics acceleration would improve conviction.
If growth softens while margins stay capped, the current Hold stance would be harder to defend.
Valuation
Price, range, and method support
Base case $102 / +0.2 upside / low confidence
Price vs fair value
+0.3%
Model-implied return
Scheduled quote
$102
Fair value
$102
Valuation method stack
Weighted fair value $102
Published method weights
DCF (Base)
$93 | 45%
NTM P/E Multiple
$110 | 35%
EV/EBITDA Cross-check
$108 | 20%
| Case / method | Value | Weight / support |
|---|---|---|
| DCF (Base) | $93 | 45% |
| NTM P/E Multiple | $110 | 35% |
| EV/EBITDA Cross-check | $108 | 20% |
| Bear case | $89 | Mixed |
| Base case | $102 | Mixed |
| Bull case | $110 | Mixed |
Fundamental analysis
Reported evidence and normalized model base
Normalized annual basis: FY2025
Normalized figures are AnalystScope's annual valuation model base.
| Normalized metric | Latest value | Growth / margin context |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $44.3B | +5.5% YoY |
| Operating income | $7.5B | 16.9% margin |
| Net income | $5.8B | EPS proxy $3.35 |
| Free cash flow | $6.4B | 14.4% margin |
| EBITDA | $9.8B | 22.1% margin |
| Net cash / (debt) | -$5.0B | -11.3% of revenue |
| Metric | Reported | AnalystScope normalized | Basis note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (TTM) | $44.3B | $44.3B | Model revenue smooths device, diagnostics, and nutrition timing rather than extrapolating any one procedure or respiratory season. |
| Operating Margin | 18.2% | 16.9% | Margin input keeps the base on durable diversified-healthcare economics rather than temporary mix or supply-chain relief. |
| FCF (TTM) | $7.4B | $6.4B | FCF input adjusts for working-capital timing and keeps the cash-conversion base conservative. |
| Net Cash / (Debt) | ($27.2B) | ($5.0B) | Balance-sheet treatment remains measured and does not assume all cash is freely distributable. |
Fundamental snapshot
FY2025
Normalized annual model base
Revenue
+5.5% YoY
$44.3B
Op. margin
+0.7% pts
16.9%
FCF margin
+0.4% pts
14.4%
Revenue + margin trend
Annual normalized model-base history.
Revenue
Operating margin
AnalystScope annual model-base statements in USD across FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025.
Income statement
| Line item | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $40.1B | $42.0B | $44.3B |
| Gross Profit | $22.1B | $23.3B | $24.7B |
| Operating Income | $6.2B | $6.8B | $7.5B |
| EBITDA | $8.2B | $8.9B | $9.8B |
| Net Income | $4.8B | $5.3B | $5.8B |
Balance sheet
| Line item | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & Investments | $8.0B | $8.5B | $9.0B |
| Total Debt | $15.0B | $14.5B | $14.0B |
| Net Cash / (Debt) | ($7.0B) | ($6.0B) | ($5.0B) |
| Total Assets | $77.0B | $80.0B | $83.0B |
| Total Liabilities | $33.0B | $34.0B | $35.0B |
| Shareholders' Equity | $44.0B | $46.0B | $48.0B |
Cash flow
| Line item | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $7.2B | $7.7B | $8.3B |
| Depreciation & Amortization | $2.0B | $2.1B | $2.3B |
| Capital Expenditures | ($1.7B) | ($1.8B) | ($1.9B) |
| Free Cash Flow | $5.5B | $5.9B | $6.4B |
Model assumptions
Base-case inputs and sensitivity
Published AnalystScope assumptions; private edits do not change this base case.
Revenue CAGR (5Y)
5.0%
+/- 1.0% => +/-$4/sh
Why this level: This is AnalystScope's base-case growth assumption, not a guarantee. It sits below the latest FY model-base revenue pace (2025.0%), so the model does not extend current strength too far into the outer years. Current company context: A diversified healthcare portfolio reduces dependence on any one procedure or product cycle.
Terminal Growth
2.5%
+/- 0.5% => +/-$3/sh
Why this level: This is AnalystScope's mature long-run growth assumption, not a perpetual hypergrowth claim. At 2.5%, it sits well below the 5.0% five-year revenue CAGR, so the model steps down from the explicit forecast period to a steadier long-run pace. For Abbott Laboratories, that means a durable franchise can keep compounding after year five without assuming today's faster growth profile lasts indefinitely.
WACC
8.0%
+/- 0.5% => -$4/sh
Why this level: This is AnalystScope's base-case cost-of-capital judgment, not a precise CAPM output. It reflects the current rates backdrop, equity risk premium, and the company's balance-sheet posture. Balance sheet remains manageable against diversified healthcare cash generation
Operating Margin (Year 5)
17.8%
+/- 100 bps => +/-$3/sh
Why this level: This is AnalystScope's base-case margin view, not a promise of straight-line expansion. It keeps year-five margins close to today's model-base operating margin (16.9%), which implies the current margin structure is broadly durable. Margin input keeps the base on durable diversified-healthcare economics rather than temporary mix or supply-chain relief.
Sensitivity drivers
Revenue CAGR (5Y)
5.0%
+/- 1.0% => +/-$4/sh
Terminal Growth
2.5%
+/- 0.5% => +/-$3/sh
WACC
8.0%
+/- 0.5% => -$4/sh
Operating Margin (Year 5)
17.8%
+/- 100 bps => +/-$3/sh
Confidence
Low
Method outputs show wider dispersion of +16.7%, limiting conviction.
Why the model view could be wrong
Procedure, diagnostics, or product-cycle softness could keep results below the current through-cycle base.
The setup is diversified, but that also limits the odds of a sharp near-term rerating.
If margin improvement stalls while the multiple holds, the upside case would stay constrained.
Private analysis
Test your own assumptions in Scenario Builder
Private scenarios remain separate from AnalystScope's published base case.
Private workspace
Scenario Builder
Private scenario sandbox
This is a private modelling layer, not the public AnalystScope base case or printable snapshot. It keeps the public base case as the anchor, applies bounded changes to the four core valuation inputs, and updates your scenario fair-value estimate immediately.
Saved scenarios currently stay local to this browser for ABT. Base-case rationale remains in the public assumptions section above. Your scenario output reprices the published valuation methods from projected operating anchors when those anchors are available, while keeping market-multiple and capital-structure assumptions anchored to the AnalystScope framework.
Editable assumptions
Adjust your scenario inputs within the displayed plausible range for this company. The workbench stays anchored to the public AnalystScope base case.
This is a bounded scenario tool, not a free-form spreadsheet. Values outside the displayed range snap back to the nearest allowed value when you leave the field.
Matches the published AnalystScope base case.
Revenue CAGR (5Y)
Public AnalystScope base case: 5.0% | +/- 1.0% => +/-$4/sh
Allowed range: 0.0% to 11.0%
Terminal Growth
Public AnalystScope base case: 2.5% | +/- 0.5% => +/-$3/sh
Allowed range: 1.0% to 4.0%
WACC
Public AnalystScope base case: 8.0% | +/- 0.5% => -$4/sh
Allowed range: 6.0% to 10.0%
Operating Margin (Year 5)
Public AnalystScope base case: 17.8% | +/- 100 bps => +/-$3/sh
Allowed range: 9.8% to 25.8%
Saved private scenarios
Save up to 5 named scenarios for ABT. These are your scenarios: they never overwrite the public AnalystScope base case and remain clearly separate from public research.
Checking private workspace session...
Private scenario note
Keep a short thesis, main risk, or why this case differs from the published base case.
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Notes stay local to this browser unless you sign in to the private workspace, and they never appear as published AnalystScope research.
No private scenarios saved yet. Make a change to the published base case, then save a named scenario here.
Published base case
Fair value
$102
Upside / Downside
+0.2 upside
Model signal
Hold
Published base-case output
Scenario output reprices the published DCF and multiple methods from projected year-5 revenue, margin, free cash flow, EBITDA, and EPS anchors. Market multiples and capital structure stay anchored to the published base framework.
Fair value
$102
$0/sh vs published base case
Upside / Downside
+0.2 upside
+0.0 pts vs published base case
Model signal
Hold
Unchanged versus the published base case.
Method movement inside the scenario
This breakdown shows what moved inside the published valuation framework when you edit the scenario. The published AnalystScope base case stays anchored, and any method without a clean projected anchor remains pinned to that framework.
Method rows below reflect the current edited scenario state, not just the saved scenario snapshots.
Influence tags are directional rather than exact attribution. They estimate which edited input is moving each method most by reverting one assumption at a time while the other edited inputs stay in place.
| Method | Published base | Edited scenario | Delta | How it moved / main drivers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
DCF (Base) DCF-style | 45% weight | $93 | $93 | $0/sh | Base-aligned This method is supported by the model-native bridge and currently stays aligned with the published base case. Edited inputs are largely offsetting each other, so this row stays close to the published base case. |
NTM P/E Multiple P/E-style | 35% weight | $110 | $110 | $0/sh | Base-aligned This method is supported by the model-native bridge and currently stays aligned with the published base case. Edited inputs are largely offsetting each other, so this row stays close to the published base case. |
EV/EBITDA Cross-check EV-based multiple | 20% weight | $108 | $108 | $0/sh | Base-aligned This method is supported by the model-native bridge and currently stays aligned with the published base case. Edited inputs are largely offsetting each other, so this row stays close to the published base case. |
Weighted fair value Published framework result | Published framework result | $102 | $102 | -$0/sh | Moved Combines the repriced method outputs using the published AnalystScope weights. No single edited assumption is dominating this move in a material way. |
Published base case vs private scenarios
Compare the published AnalystScope base case against your saved private scenarios in one view. Saved scenarios remain local to this browser, and the table below reflects saved snapshots rather than any unsaved edits currently sitting in the editor.
Fair-value comparisons use the same workbench recalculation path as the editor above.
Published base case stays pinned as the anchor row.
| Scenario | Revenue CAGR (5Y) | Terminal Growth | WACC | Op. Margin (Y5) | Fair Value | Upside / Downside | Model Signal | Delta vs Base | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AnalystScope base case PublishedOfficial AnalystScope anchor row. | 5.0% | 2.5% | 8.0% | 17.8% | $102 | +0.2 upside | Hold | Published anchor |
Supporting research
Quality, normalization, and monitoring evidence
Annual model base: FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025
Thesis scorecard
Growth
ModerateGrowth is diversified and durable, though not unusually fast.
Profitability
ModerateMargins are solid, though not at the level of the best software or payment franchises.
Balance sheet
ModerateLeverage is manageable against the cash-flow profile.
Valuation
ModerateThe current multiple is reasonable, but the spread to fair value is still contained.
Execution / Resilience
StrongDiversification across devices, diagnostics, and nutrition supports resilience.
Current source status
Quote: Daily scheduled refresh as of Jul 21, 2026, 6:05 AM UTC. Fresh through Jul 22, 2026, 6:05 AM UTC.
Reported fundamentals: Fundamentals refreshed 21 Jul 2026, 00:39 UTC. Fresh through 21 Jul 2026, 12:39 UTC.
Latest filing: 8-K filed Jul 16, 2026 | Reporting period Jul 16, 2026. Filing refreshed Jul 21, 2026, 1:32 AM UTC. Fresh through Jul 21, 2026, 1:32 PM UTC.
Annual model-base income-statement, cash-flow, and balance-sheet metrics, plus cross-statement quality relationships with compact prior-FY direction cues, derived from the curated statement backbone.
Basis: FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025. Live reported fundamentals remain available in the reconciliation section.
Operating and cash-flow trends
Revenue growth (1Y)
+5.5%
Gross margin
55.8%
Operating margin
16.9%
Operating margin change vs prior FY
+0.7 pts
EBITDA margin
22.1%
EBITDA margin change vs prior FY
+0.9 pts
Operating income growth (1Y)
+10.3%
Net margin
13.1%
FCF margin
14.4%
FCF margin change vs prior FY
+0.4 pts
FCF growth (1Y)
+8.5%
Balance sheet quality
Cash & investments
$9.0B
Total debt
$14.0B
Net cash / (debt)
Net debt $5.0B
Net cash / (debt) as % of revenue
Net debt 11.3% of revenue
Liabilities / assets
vs FY2024 (-0.3 pts)
42.2%
Cross-statement quality
Gross-to-operating spread
38.8 pts
Operating cash flow / net income
vs FY2024 (-0.0x)
1.4x
Operating cash flow / EBITDA
vs FY2024 (-0.0x)
0.8x
Free cash flow / net income
vs FY2024 (-0.0x)
1.1x
CapEx as % of revenue
vs FY2024 (+0.0 pts)
4.3%
CapEx as % of operating cash flow
vs FY2024 (-0.5 pts)
22.9%
CapEx / D&A
vs FY2024 (-0.0x)
0.8x
Cash & investments / total debt
vs FY2024 (+0.1x)
0.6x
Shareholders' equity as % of revenue
108.4%
Asset turnover
vs FY2024 (+0.0x)
0.5x
Compact model-base diagnostics for analyst triage, highlighting where the durable valuation base is diverging most clearly from the latest reported picture.
Adjustment focus
Large analyst adjustmentBalance sheet | Net Cash / (Debt) | +$22.2B / +50% of revenue
Revenue momentum
Stable+5.5% latest 1Y growth
vs +4.7% prior 1Y
Operating margin trend
Stable16.9% latest margin
+74 bps vs prior FY
FCF margin trend
Stable14.4% latest FCF margin
+40 bps vs prior FY
Balance-sheet posture
StableNet debt 11.3% of revenue
vs Net debt 14.3% of revenue prior FY
How to read this
Reported = the latest company-reported figure. Model base = AnalystScope's comparable operating base used for valuation and thesis work. It may include standardization, conservative balance-sheet treatment, working-capital cleanup, and through-cycle adjustments when current reported numbers do not look durable.
This is an analyst model base, not a claim of perfect adjusted truth. Larger gaps can reflect deliberate cyclical or base-case adjustments, not just light accounting cleanup.
Why the model base differs
For Abbott, the model base is intended to reflect diversified healthcare economics through product-cycle and procedure noise rather than a single period's operating mix.
Rows are sorted by largest comparable adjustment first.
| Metric | Model base | Live reported | Variance vs reported | Adjustment size | Why lower / higher? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Cash / (Debt) | ($5.0B) FY2025 model base | ($27.2B) Live reported balance sheet | +$22.2B / +50% of revenue | Large analyst adjustment | Model base is less conservative than the live reported balance-sheet figure because the latest reported balance does not appear fully representative. It remains measured and does not assume all cash is freely distributable. |
FCF (TTM) | $6.4B FY2025 model base | $7.4B Live reported TTM | -$1.0B / -14% | Moderate adjustment | Model base is lower than live reported because cash generation is being smoothed for timing effects rather than taken at face value. It adjusts for working-capital timing and keeps the cash-conversion base conservative. |
Operating Margin | 16.9% FY2025 model base | 18.2% Live reported margin | -1.3 pts | Close to reported | Model base is lower than live reported because current margin strength is not being treated as a permanent through-cycle outcome. It keeps the base on durable diversified-healthcare economics rather than temporary mix or supply-chain relief. |
Revenue (TTM) | $44.3B FY2025 model base | $44.3B Live reported TTM | +$0.0 / +0% | Close to reported | Model base keeps revenue close to live reported because the latest run-rate already looks broadly representative. It smooths device, diagnostics, and nutrition timing rather than extrapolating any one procedure or respiratory season. |
Near-term catalysts
Device procedure commentary and diagnostics demand remain the clearest near-term signals.
Gross-margin mix and cash-conversion quality matter as much as any single revenue beat in this setup.
Any cleaner evidence of broad-based portfolio acceleration would improve the current valuation read-through.
What we are watching
Whether diversified portfolio growth remains balanced rather than dependent on one faster segment.
How durable current margin stability is as product mix shifts.
Whether free-cash-flow conversion remains strong enough to support the current fair-value range.
| Date | Event | Published rating | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | New | Hold | Started coverage with a Hold view on diversified healthcare quality and a moderate spread to fair value. |